Marine Products Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| MPX Stock | USD 9.66 0.22 2.33% |
Marine Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Marine Products' share price is at 57. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Marine Products, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.5 | Wall Street Target Price 8 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.066 |
Using Marine Products hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Marine Products from the perspective of Marine Products response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Marine Products using Marine Products' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Marine using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Marine Products' stock price.
Marine Products Implied Volatility | 1.3 |
Marine Products' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Marine Products stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Marine Products' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Marine Products stock will not fluctuate a lot when Marine Products' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Marine Products on the next trading day is expected to be 9.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.48. Marine Products after-hype prediction price | USD 9.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marine Products to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Marine contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Marine Products will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0813% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Marine Products trading at USD 9.66, that is roughly USD 0.007849 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Marine Products' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Marine Products options at the current volatility level of 1.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Marine Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Marine Products' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Marine Products' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Marine Products stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Marine Products' open interest, investors have to compare it to Marine Products' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Marine Products is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Marine. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Marine Products Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Marine price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marine using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marine charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Marine Products Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Marine Products on the next trading day is expected to be 9.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.48.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Marine Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Marine Products' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Marine Products Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Marine Products | Marine Products Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Marine Products Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Marine Products' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Marine Products' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.37 and 11.95, respectively. We have considered Marine Products' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Marine Products stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Marine Products stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.2341 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0317 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1607 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0181 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.48 |
Predictive Modules for Marine Products
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marine Products. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Marine Products After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Marine Products at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Marine Products or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Marine Products, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Marine Products Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Marine Products' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Marine Products' historical news coverage. Marine Products' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.37 and 11.95, respectively. We have considered Marine Products' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Marine Products is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Marine Products is based on 3 months time horizon.
Marine Products Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Marine Products is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Marine Products backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Marine Products, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.29 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.66 | 9.66 | 0.00 |
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Marine Products Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February Marine Products is traded for 9.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Marine is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Marine Products is about 1316.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.62. About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Marine Products was now reported as 3.61. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.44. Marine Products last dividend was issued on the 10th of November 2025. The entity had 3:2 split on the 11th of March 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marine Products to cross-verify your projections.Marine Products Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Marine Products' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Marine Products' future price movements. Getting to know how Marine Products' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Marine Products may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MCFT | MCBC Holdings | 0.45 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.21 | (4.27) | 12.82 | |
| EMPD | Empery Digital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.81 | (9.18) | 20.15 | |
| ONEW | Onewater Marine | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.92 | (5.54) | 14.64 | |
| STRT | Strattec Security | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.13 | 0.09 | 5.49 | (2.94) | 11.37 | |
| MOV | Movado Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.63 | 0.17 | 4.31 | (3.10) | 10.14 | |
| LOCO | El Pollo Loco | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.62 | (2.74) | 7.70 | |
| BNED | Barnes Noble Education | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.20 | 0.02 | 4.69 | (5.18) | 42.63 | |
| JACK | Jack In The | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.80 | 0.11 | 8.01 | (6.78) | 22.15 | |
| HVT | Haverty Furniture Companies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.09 | 3.82 | (2.25) | 9.36 | |
| CTRN | Citi Trends | (2.19) | 9 per month | 2.51 | 0.09 | 4.90 | (4.27) | 15.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for Marine Products
For every potential investor in Marine, whether a beginner or expert, Marine Products' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Marine Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Marine. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Marine Products' price trends.Marine Products Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Marine Products stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Marine Products could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marine Products by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Marine Products Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Marine Products stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Marine Products shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Marine Products stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Marine Products entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Marine Products Risk Indicators
The analysis of Marine Products' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Marine Products' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting marine stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.35 | |||
| Variance | 5.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.12 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.45 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.94) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Marine Products
The number of cover stories for Marine Products depends on current market conditions and Marine Products' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Marine Products is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Marine Products' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Marine Products Short Properties
Marine Products' future price predictability will typically decrease when Marine Products' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Marine Products often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Marine Products' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marine Products' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 52.4 M |
Additional Tools for Marine Stock Analysis
When running Marine Products' price analysis, check to measure Marine Products' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marine Products is operating at the current time. Most of Marine Products' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marine Products' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marine Products' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marine Products to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.