MAG Silver (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.66
| MQ8 Stock | EUR 13.14 0.08 0.61% |
MAG |
MAG Silver Target Price Odds to finish below 11.66
The tendency of MAG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 11.66 or more in 90 days |
| 13.14 | 90 days | 11.66 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MAG Silver to drop to € 11.66 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This MAG Silver Corp probability density function shows the probability of MAG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MAG Silver Corp price to stay between € 11.66 and its current price of €13.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.28 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon MAG Silver has a beta of 0.38. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MAG Silver average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MAG Silver Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MAG Silver Corp has an alpha of 0.0466, implying that it can generate a 0.0466 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MAG Silver Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MAG Silver
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MAG Silver Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MAG Silver Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MAG Silver is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MAG Silver's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MAG Silver Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MAG Silver within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
MAG Silver Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MAG Silver for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MAG Silver Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MAG Silver Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| MAG Silver Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| MAG Silver Corp has accumulated about 128.61 M in cash with (6.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.49. |
MAG Silver Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MAG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MAG Silver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MAG Silver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 97.8 M |
MAG Silver Technical Analysis
MAG Silver's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MAG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MAG Silver Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing MAG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MAG Silver Predictive Forecast Models
MAG Silver's time-series forecasting models is one of many MAG Silver's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MAG Silver's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MAG Silver Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about MAG Silver for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MAG Silver Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MAG Silver Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| MAG Silver Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| MAG Silver Corp has accumulated about 128.61 M in cash with (6.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.49. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in MAG Stock
When determining whether MAG Silver Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze MAG Silver's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact MAG Silver's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding MAG Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out MAG Silver Backtesting, MAG Silver Valuation, MAG Silver Correlation, MAG Silver Hype Analysis, MAG Silver Volatility, MAG Silver History as well as MAG Silver Performance. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.