Meridian Bank Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.65
| MRBK Stock | USD 16.31 0.81 5.23% |
Meridian |
Meridian Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 12.65
The tendency of Meridian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.65 or more in 90 days |
| 16.31 | 90 days | 12.65 | about 46.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meridian Bank to drop to $ 12.65 or more in 90 days from now is about 46.45 (This Meridian Bank probability density function shows the probability of Meridian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Meridian Bank price to stay between $ 12.65 and its current price of $16.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.35 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Meridian Bank has a beta of 0.74. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Meridian Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Meridian Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Meridian Bank has an alpha of 0.4541, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Meridian Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Meridian Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meridian Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Meridian Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meridian Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meridian Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meridian Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meridian Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.26 |
Meridian Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meridian Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meridian Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 19th of November 2024 Meridian Bank paid $ 0.125 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Meridian Will Pay A Dividend Of 0.125 |
Meridian Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Meridian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Meridian Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meridian Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 156.1 M |
Meridian Bank Technical Analysis
Meridian Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Meridian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Meridian Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Meridian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Meridian Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Meridian Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Meridian Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Meridian Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Meridian Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Meridian Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Meridian Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 19th of November 2024 Meridian Bank paid $ 0.125 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Meridian Will Pay A Dividend Of 0.125 |
Check out Meridian Bank Backtesting, Meridian Bank Valuation, Meridian Bank Correlation, Meridian Bank Hype Analysis, Meridian Bank Volatility, Meridian Bank History as well as Meridian Bank Performance. For more information on how to buy Meridian Stock please use our How to buy in Meridian Stock guide.You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Meridian Bank. If investors know Meridian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Meridian Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.2 | Dividend Share 0.5 | Earnings Share 1.01 | Revenue Per Share 8.327 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.062 |
The market value of Meridian Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Meridian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Meridian Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Meridian Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Meridian Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Meridian Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Meridian Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Meridian Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Meridian Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.