Meridian Bank Stock Forward View
| MRBK Stock | USD 20.39 0.02 0.1% |
Meridian Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Meridian Bank's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Meridian Bank's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Meridian Bank fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Meridian Bank's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.381 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.53 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.65 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.3 | Wall Street Target Price 19 |
Using Meridian Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Meridian Bank from the perspective of Meridian Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Meridian Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 20.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.89. Meridian Bank after-hype prediction price | USD 20.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Meridian Bank to cross-verify your projections. Meridian Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Meridian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Meridian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Meridian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Meridian Bank Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Meridian Bank's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2016-12-31 | Previous Quarter 50.2 M | Current Value 12.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 25.5 M |
Meridian Bank Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Meridian Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 20.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Meridian Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Meridian Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Meridian Bank Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Meridian Bank | Meridian Bank Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Meridian Bank Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Meridian Bank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Meridian Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.03 and 22.78, respectively. We have considered Meridian Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Meridian Bank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Meridian Bank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.6236 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2402 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.014 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.8924 |
Predictive Modules for Meridian Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meridian Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Meridian Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Meridian Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Meridian Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Meridian Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Meridian Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Meridian Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Meridian Bank's historical news coverage. Meridian Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.39 and 22.15, respectively. We have considered Meridian Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Meridian Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Meridian Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Meridian Bank Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Meridian Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Meridian Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Meridian Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.56 | 1.88 | 0.12 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.39 | 20.27 | 0.59 |
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Meridian Bank Hype Timeline
Meridian Bank is now traded for 20.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Meridian is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.27. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.59%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.56%. The volatility of related hype on Meridian Bank is about 5529.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.37. About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.22. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Meridian Bank has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.11. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of November 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 21st of March 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Meridian Bank to cross-verify your projections.Meridian Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Meridian Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Meridian Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Meridian Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Meridian Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OVBC | Ohio Valley Banc | (0.80) | 9 per month | 0.45 | 0.18 | 3.03 | (1.29) | 9.11 | |
| LARK | Landmark Bancorp | 0.21 | 10 per month | 1.54 | 0.11 | 3.73 | (3.14) | 9.67 | |
| BVFL | BV Financial Common | 0.07 | 8 per month | 1.33 | 0.16 | 2.87 | (2.59) | 9.13 | |
| CFBK | CF Bankshares | 0.13 | 7 per month | 0.65 | 0.27 | 4.96 | (1.80) | 9.61 | |
| PEBK | Peoples Bancorp of | 0.35 | 10 per month | 0.73 | 0.24 | 3.24 | (1.51) | 5.96 | |
| MNSB | Mainstreet Bank | 0.47 | 7 per month | 1.16 | 0.17 | 3.35 | (2.46) | 8.15 | |
| CZWI | Citizens Community Bancorp | (0.14) | 8 per month | 0.81 | 0.20 | 2.36 | (1.73) | 7.50 | |
| FCAP | First Capital | (0.52) | 8 per month | 2.63 | 0.18 | 7.27 | (5.18) | 17.93 | |
| INBK | First Internet Bancorp | (0.07) | 8 per month | 2.16 | 0.1 | 5.41 | (4.39) | 15.47 | |
| UBFO | United Security Bancshares | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.65 | 0.22 | 3.25 | (1.38) | 5.92 |
Other Forecasting Options for Meridian Bank
For every potential investor in Meridian, whether a beginner or expert, Meridian Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Meridian Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Meridian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Meridian Bank's price trends.Meridian Bank Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Meridian Bank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Meridian Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Meridian Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Meridian Bank Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Meridian Bank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Meridian Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Meridian Bank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Meridian Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1805.19 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.05) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.44 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.42 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.02) |
Meridian Bank Risk Indicators
The analysis of Meridian Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Meridian Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting meridian stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6281 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Variance | 3.58 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3945 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.79) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Meridian Bank
The number of cover stories for Meridian Bank depends on current market conditions and Meridian Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Meridian Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Meridian Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Meridian Bank Short Properties
Meridian Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Meridian Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Meridian Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Meridian Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meridian Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 5.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Meridian Bank to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Meridian Stock please use our How to buy in Meridian Stock guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Meridian Bank. Expected growth trajectory for Meridian significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Meridian Bank assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.381 | Dividend Share 0.5 | Earnings Share 1.77 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.128 |
Meridian Bank's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Meridian's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Meridian Bank's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Meridian Bank's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Meridian Bank's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Meridian Bank represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Meridian Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.