Monroe Capital Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.79
| MRCC Stock | USD 8.41 0.03 0.36% |
Monroe |
Monroe Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 6.79
The tendency of Monroe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 6.79 in 90 days |
| 8.41 | 90 days | 6.79 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Monroe Capital to stay above $ 6.79 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Monroe Capital Corp probability density function shows the probability of Monroe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Monroe Capital Corp price to stay between $ 6.79 and its current price of $8.41 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.46 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Monroe Capital has a beta of 0.25. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Monroe Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Monroe Capital Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Monroe Capital Corp has an alpha of 0.1637, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Monroe Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Monroe Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Monroe Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Monroe Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Monroe Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Monroe Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Monroe Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Monroe Capital Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Monroe Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Monroe Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Monroe Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Monroe Capital Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Monroe Capital Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 30th of September 2024 Monroe Capital paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Monroe Capital Corporation Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Monroe Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Monroe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Monroe Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Monroe Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 M |
Monroe Capital Technical Analysis
Monroe Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Monroe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Monroe Capital Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Monroe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Monroe Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Monroe Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Monroe Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Monroe Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Monroe Capital Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Monroe Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Monroe Capital Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Monroe Capital Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 30th of September 2024 Monroe Capital paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Monroe Capital Corporation Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Check out Monroe Capital Backtesting, Monroe Capital Valuation, Monroe Capital Correlation, Monroe Capital Hype Analysis, Monroe Capital Volatility, Monroe Capital History as well as Monroe Capital Performance. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Monroe Capital. If investors know Monroe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Monroe Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Earnings Share 0.61 | Revenue Per Share 2.86 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets 0.0545 |
The market value of Monroe Capital Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Monroe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Monroe Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Monroe Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Monroe Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Monroe Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Monroe Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Monroe Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Monroe Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.