Maskapai Reasuransi (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 963.35
| MREI Stock | IDR 985.00 10.00 1.03% |
Maskapai |
Maskapai Reasuransi Target Price Odds to finish below 963.35
The tendency of Maskapai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 963.35 or more in 90 days |
| 985.00 | 90 days | 963.35 | about 7.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Maskapai Reasuransi to drop to 963.35 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.55 (This Maskapai Reasuransi Indonesia probability density function shows the probability of Maskapai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Maskapai Reasuransi price to stay between 963.35 and its current price of 985.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Maskapai Reasuransi Indonesia has a beta of -0.21. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Maskapai Reasuransi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Maskapai Reasuransi Indonesia is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Maskapai Reasuransi Indonesia has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Maskapai Reasuransi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Maskapai Reasuransi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maskapai Reasuransi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Maskapai Reasuransi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Maskapai Reasuransi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Maskapai Reasuransi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Maskapai Reasuransi Indonesia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Maskapai Reasuransi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 38.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Maskapai Reasuransi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Maskapai Reasuransi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Maskapai Reasuransi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Maskapai Reasuransi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.91 T. Net Loss for the year was (291.04 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (222.31 B). | |
| Maskapai Reasuransi generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Maskapai Reasuransi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Maskapai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Maskapai Reasuransi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maskapai Reasuransi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 517.8 M |
Maskapai Reasuransi Technical Analysis
Maskapai Reasuransi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Maskapai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Maskapai Reasuransi Indonesia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Maskapai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Maskapai Reasuransi Predictive Forecast Models
Maskapai Reasuransi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Maskapai Reasuransi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Maskapai Reasuransi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Maskapai Reasuransi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Maskapai Reasuransi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Maskapai Reasuransi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Maskapai Reasuransi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.91 T. Net Loss for the year was (291.04 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (222.31 B). | |
| Maskapai Reasuransi generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Maskapai Stock
Maskapai Reasuransi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maskapai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maskapai with respect to the benefits of owning Maskapai Reasuransi security.