Multi Retail (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1077.00

MRG Stock   1,077  32.00  2.89%   
Multi Retail's future price is the expected price of Multi Retail instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Multi Retail Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Multi Retail Backtesting, Multi Retail Valuation, Multi Retail Correlation, Multi Retail Hype Analysis, Multi Retail Volatility, Multi Retail History as well as Multi Retail Performance.
  
Please specify Multi Retail's target price for which you would like Multi Retail odds to be computed.

Multi Retail Target Price Odds to finish over 1077.00

The tendency of Multi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1,077 90 days 1,077 
about 5.61
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Multi Retail to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.61 (This Multi Retail Group probability density function shows the probability of Multi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Multi Retail has a beta of 0.36. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Multi Retail average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Multi Retail Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Multi Retail Group has an alpha of 1.295, implying that it can generate a 1.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Multi Retail Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Multi Retail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multi Retail Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0731,0771,081
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
969.301,1061,110
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,0371,0411,045
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
859.351,0081,157
Details

Multi Retail Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Multi Retail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Multi Retail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Multi Retail Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Multi Retail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
224.27
Ir
Information ratio 0.34

Multi Retail Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Multi Retail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Multi Retail Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Multi Retail Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Multi Retail Technical Analysis

Multi Retail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Multi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Multi Retail Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Multi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Multi Retail Predictive Forecast Models

Multi Retail's time-series forecasting models is one of many Multi Retail's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Multi Retail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Multi Retail Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Multi Retail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Multi Retail Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Multi Retail Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Multi Stock

Multi Retail financial ratios help investors to determine whether Multi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Multi with respect to the benefits of owning Multi Retail security.