Murano Global Investments Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.53
| MRNO Stock | 9.53 0.34 3.44% |
Murano |
Murano Global Target Price Odds to finish below 9.53
The tendency of Murano Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 9.53 | 90 days | 9.53 | about 86.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Murano Global to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 86.8 (This Murano Global Investments probability density function shows the probability of Murano Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Murano Global has a beta of 0.52. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Murano Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Murano Global Investments will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Murano Global Investments has an alpha of 0.812, implying that it can generate a 0.81 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Murano Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Murano Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Murano Global Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Murano Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Murano Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Murano Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Murano Global Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Murano Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.81 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Murano Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Murano Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Murano Global Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Murano Global is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Murano Global appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Murano Global has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Murano Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Murano Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Murano Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Murano Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 81.3 M |
Murano Global Technical Analysis
Murano Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Murano Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Murano Global Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Murano Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Murano Global Predictive Forecast Models
Murano Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Murano Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Murano Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Murano Global Investments
Checking the ongoing alerts about Murano Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Murano Global Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Murano Global is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Murano Global appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Murano Global has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Murano Global Backtesting, Murano Global Valuation, Murano Global Correlation, Murano Global Hype Analysis, Murano Global Volatility, Murano Global History as well as Murano Global Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Murano Global. If investors know Murano will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Murano Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.85) | Revenue Per Share 0.496 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.512 | Return On Assets (0.01) | Return On Equity (0.17) |
The market value of Murano Global Investments is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Murano that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Murano Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Murano Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Murano Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Murano Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Murano Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Murano Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Murano Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.