Murano Global Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| MRNO Stock | 1.17 0.18 13.33% |
Murano Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Murano Global's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Murano Global's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Murano Global fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Murano Global's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.239 |
Using Murano Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Murano Global Investments from the perspective of Murano Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Murano Global Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 0.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.29. Murano Global after-hype prediction price | USD 1.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Murano Global to cross-verify your projections. Murano Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Murano price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Murano using various technical indicators. When you analyze Murano charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Murano Global Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Murano Global Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 0.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Murano Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Murano Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Murano Global Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Murano Global | Murano Global Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Murano Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Murano Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Murano Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 18.42, respectively. We have considered Murano Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Murano Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Murano Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.3845 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3918 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.3748 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.2924 |
Predictive Modules for Murano Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Murano Global Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Murano Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Murano Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Murano Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Murano Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Murano Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Murano Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Murano Global's historical news coverage. Murano Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 18.57, respectively. We have considered Murano Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Murano Global is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Murano Global Investments is based on 3 months time horizon.
Murano Global Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Murano Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Murano Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Murano Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 17.54 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.17 | 1.17 | 0.00 |
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Murano Global Hype Timeline
Murano Global Investments is now traded for 1.17. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. Murano is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Murano Global is about 8814.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.14. About 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.28. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Murano Global Investments recorded a loss per share of 1.9. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Murano Global to cross-verify your projections.Murano Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Murano Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Murano Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Murano Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Murano Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VTMX | Corporacin Inmobiliaria Vesta | (0.72) | 4 per month | 1.19 | 0.03 | 2.10 | (1.97) | 6.35 | |
| AMBR | Amber International Holding | 0.11 | 5 per month | 7.28 | 0.03 | 15.03 | (12.56) | 71.78 | |
| LODE | Comstock Mining | (0.26) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.36 | (8.50) | 25.76 | |
| PINE | Alpineome Property Trust | 0.19 | 11 per month | 1.06 | 0.25 | 2.27 | (2.44) | 7.38 | |
| RMAX | Re Max Holding | 0.26 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.56 | (4.25) | 15.65 | |
| OZ | Belpointe PREP LLC | (2.47) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.67 | (3.80) | 18.80 | |
| JFB | JFB Construction Holdings | 0.70 | 9 per month | 5.72 | 0.10 | 12.98 | (9.04) | 29.28 | |
| BHR | Braemar Hotel Resorts | 0.09 | 8 per month | 2.01 | 0.08 | 4.88 | (3.83) | 12.09 | |
| ACR | Acres Commercial Realty | 0.36 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.75 | (3.41) | 12.32 | |
| AXR | AMREP | (0.25) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.56 | (4.09) | 13.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for Murano Global
For every potential investor in Murano, whether a beginner or expert, Murano Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Murano Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Murano. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Murano Global's price trends.Murano Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Murano Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Murano Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Murano Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Murano Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Murano Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Murano Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Murano Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Murano Global Investments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 58943.72 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.64) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.87 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.21 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.2 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.14) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.18) |
Murano Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of Murano Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Murano Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting murano stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 11.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 16.75 | |||
| Variance | 280.58 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Murano Global
The number of cover stories for Murano Global depends on current market conditions and Murano Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Murano Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Murano Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Murano Global Short Properties
Murano Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Murano Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Murano Global Investments often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Murano Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Murano Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 77.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 970.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Murano Global to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Will Real Estate Management & Development sector continue expanding? Could Murano diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Murano Global. Expected growth trajectory for Murano significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Murano Global data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (1.90) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.239 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Murano Global Investments requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Murano's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Murano Global's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Murano Global's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Murano Global's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Murano Global represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Murano Global's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.