Marex Group Plc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.43
| MRX Stock | 29.21 0.26 0.90% |
Marex |
Marex Group Target Price Odds to finish below 23.43
The tendency of Marex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 23.43 or more in 90 days |
| 29.21 | 90 days | 23.43 | about 12.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marex Group to drop to 23.43 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.31 (This Marex Group plc probability density function shows the probability of Marex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marex Group plc price to stay between 23.43 and its current price of 29.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.95 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Marex Group has a beta of 0.36. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Marex Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Marex Group plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Marex Group plc has an alpha of 0.2699, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Marex Group Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Marex Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marex Group plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Marex Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marex Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marex Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marex Group plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marex Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Marex Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marex Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marex Group plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: All You Need to Know About Marex Group PLC Rating Upgrade to Strong Buy |
Marex Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marex Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marex Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 72.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Marex Group Technical Analysis
Marex Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marex Group plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marex Group Predictive Forecast Models
Marex Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marex Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marex Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marex Group plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marex Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marex Group plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: All You Need to Know About Marex Group PLC Rating Upgrade to Strong Buy |
Additional Tools for Marex Stock Analysis
When running Marex Group's price analysis, check to measure Marex Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marex Group is operating at the current time. Most of Marex Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marex Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marex Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marex Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.