Lha Market State Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 22.51
| MSVX Etf | USD 21.89 0.23 1.06% |
LHA |
LHA Market Target Price Odds to finish below 22.51
The tendency of LHA Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 22.51 after 90 days |
| 21.89 | 90 days | 22.51 | about 69.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LHA Market to stay under $ 22.51 after 90 days from now is about 69.07 (This LHA Market State probability density function shows the probability of LHA Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LHA Market State price to stay between its current price of $ 21.89 and $ 22.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.02 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days LHA Market has a beta of 0.11. This indicates as returns on the market go up, LHA Market average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LHA Market State will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LHA Market State has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. LHA Market Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LHA Market
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LHA Market State. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LHA Market's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LHA Market Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LHA Market is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LHA Market's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LHA Market State, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LHA Market within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.49 |
LHA Market Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LHA Market for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LHA Market State can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LHA Market State generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund created three year return of -3.0% | |
| LHA Market State maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
LHA Market Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LHA Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LHA Market's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LHA Market's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
LHA Market Technical Analysis
LHA Market's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LHA Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LHA Market State. In general, you should focus on analyzing LHA Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LHA Market Predictive Forecast Models
LHA Market's time-series forecasting models is one of many LHA Market's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LHA Market's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LHA Market State
Checking the ongoing alerts about LHA Market for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LHA Market State help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LHA Market State generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund created three year return of -3.0% | |
| LHA Market State maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
Check out LHA Market Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, LHA Market Correlation, LHA Market Hype Analysis, LHA Market Volatility, LHA Market History as well as LHA Market Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
The market value of LHA Market State is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LHA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LHA Market's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LHA Market's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LHA Market's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LHA Market's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LHA Market's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LHA Market is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LHA Market's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.