Metals Acquisition Limited Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.43
| MTAL Stock | USD 12.68 0.36 2.92% |
Metals |
Metals Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish over 20.43
The tendency of Metals Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 20.43 or more in 90 days |
| 12.68 | 90 days | 20.43 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Metals Acquisition to move over $ 20.43 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Metals Acquisition Limited probability density function shows the probability of Metals Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Metals Acquisition price to stay between its current price of $ 12.68 and $ 20.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.2 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Metals Acquisition has a beta of 0.71. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Metals Acquisition average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Metals Acquisition Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Metals Acquisition Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Metals Acquisition Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Metals Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metals Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Metals Acquisition Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Metals Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Metals Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Metals Acquisition Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Metals Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Metals Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Metals Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Metals Acquisition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Metals Acquisition has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 159 M. Net Loss for the year was (144.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Metals Acquisition Limited currently holds about 692.58 K in cash with (11.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Metals Acquisition has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Metals Acquisition Limited Announces Results of Annual General Meeting |
Metals Acquisition Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Metals Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Metals Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metals Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.4 M |
Metals Acquisition Technical Analysis
Metals Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Metals Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Metals Acquisition Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Metals Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Metals Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models
Metals Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many Metals Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Metals Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Metals Acquisition
Checking the ongoing alerts about Metals Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Metals Acquisition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Metals Acquisition has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 159 M. Net Loss for the year was (144.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Metals Acquisition Limited currently holds about 692.58 K in cash with (11.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Metals Acquisition has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Metals Acquisition Limited Announces Results of Annual General Meeting |
Check out Metals Acquisition Backtesting, Metals Acquisition Valuation, Metals Acquisition Correlation, Metals Acquisition Hype Analysis, Metals Acquisition Volatility, Metals Acquisition History as well as Metals Acquisition Performance. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Metals Acquisition. If investors know Metals will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Metals Acquisition listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.86) | Earnings Share (3.26) | Revenue Per Share 5.61 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 3.903 | Return On Assets 0.0177 |
The market value of Metals Acquisition is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Metals that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Metals Acquisition's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Metals Acquisition's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Metals Acquisition's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Metals Acquisition's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Metals Acquisition's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Metals Acquisition is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Metals Acquisition's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.