Muangthai Capital (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 50.25
| MTC Stock | THB 49.00 0.50 1.01% |
Muangthai |
Muangthai Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 50.25
The tendency of Muangthai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 50.25 or more in 90 days |
| 49.00 | 90 days | 50.25 | about 40.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Muangthai Capital to move over 50.25 or more in 90 days from now is about 40.07 (This Muangthai Capital Public probability density function shows the probability of Muangthai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Muangthai Capital Public price to stay between its current price of 49.00 and 50.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Muangthai Capital Public has a beta of -0.31. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Muangthai Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Muangthai Capital Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Muangthai Capital Public has an alpha of 0.1581, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Muangthai Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Muangthai Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Muangthai Capital Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Muangthai Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Muangthai Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Muangthai Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Muangthai Capital Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Muangthai Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Muangthai Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Muangthai Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Muangthai Capital Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Muangthai Capital is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Muangthai Capital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Muangthai Capital Public has accumulated about 1.33 B in cash with (12.12 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.63. | |
| Roughly 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Muangthai Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Muangthai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Muangthai Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Muangthai Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B |
Muangthai Capital Technical Analysis
Muangthai Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Muangthai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Muangthai Capital Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Muangthai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Muangthai Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Muangthai Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Muangthai Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Muangthai Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Muangthai Capital Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Muangthai Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Muangthai Capital Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Muangthai Capital is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Muangthai Capital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Muangthai Capital Public has accumulated about 1.33 B in cash with (12.12 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.63. | |
| Roughly 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Muangthai Stock
Muangthai Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Muangthai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Muangthai with respect to the benefits of owning Muangthai Capital security.