Molecular Templates Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.52
| MTEM Stock | USD 0.34 0.04 10.53% |
Molecular |
Molecular Templates Target Price Odds to finish over 1.52
The tendency of Molecular Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 1.52 or more in 90 days |
| 0.34 | 90 days | 1.52 | about 12.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Molecular Templates to move over $ 1.52 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.53 (This Molecular Templates probability density function shows the probability of Molecular Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Molecular Templates price to stay between its current price of $ 0.34 and $ 1.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.8 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Molecular Templates has a beta of -0.12. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Molecular Templates are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Molecular Templates is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Molecular Templates has an alpha of 0.5444, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Molecular Templates Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Molecular Templates
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Molecular Templates. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Molecular Templates' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Molecular Templates Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Molecular Templates is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Molecular Templates' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Molecular Templates, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Molecular Templates within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Molecular Templates Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Molecular Templates for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Molecular Templates can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Molecular Templates is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Molecular Templates has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Molecular Templates appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Molecular Templates has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 57.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.12 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (45.97 M). | |
| Molecular Templates currently holds about 104.42 M in cash with (41.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.85, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Molecular Templates has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Target N. V. Biotech Sells 1,279,820 Shares of Molecular Templates, Inc. Stock |
Molecular Templates Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Molecular Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Molecular Templates' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Molecular Templates' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.5 M |
Molecular Templates Technical Analysis
Molecular Templates' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Molecular Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Molecular Templates. In general, you should focus on analyzing Molecular Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Molecular Templates Predictive Forecast Models
Molecular Templates' time-series forecasting models is one of many Molecular Templates' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Molecular Templates' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Molecular Templates
Checking the ongoing alerts about Molecular Templates for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Molecular Templates help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Molecular Templates is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Molecular Templates has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Molecular Templates appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Molecular Templates has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 57.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.12 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (45.97 M). | |
| Molecular Templates currently holds about 104.42 M in cash with (41.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.85, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Molecular Templates has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Target N. V. Biotech Sells 1,279,820 Shares of Molecular Templates, Inc. Stock |
Check out Molecular Templates Backtesting, Molecular Templates Valuation, Molecular Templates Correlation, Molecular Templates Hype Analysis, Molecular Templates Volatility, Molecular Templates History as well as Molecular Templates Performance. To learn how to invest in Molecular Stock, please use our How to Invest in Molecular Templates guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Molecular Templates. If investors know Molecular will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Molecular Templates listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.97) | Earnings Share (3.05) | Revenue Per Share 4.544 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.92) | Return On Assets (0.38) |
The market value of Molecular Templates is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Molecular that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Molecular Templates' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Molecular Templates' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Molecular Templates' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Molecular Templates' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Molecular Templates' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Molecular Templates is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Molecular Templates' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.