Musti Group (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.47
| MUSTI Stock | EUR 20.55 0.65 3.07% |
Musti |
Musti Group Target Price Odds to finish below 21.47
The tendency of Musti Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 21.47 after 90 days |
| 20.55 | 90 days | 21.47 | about 8.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Musti Group to stay under € 21.47 after 90 days from now is about 8.18 (This Musti Group Oyj probability density function shows the probability of Musti Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Musti Group Oyj price to stay between its current price of € 20.55 and € 21.47 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Musti Group has a beta of 0.46. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Musti Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Musti Group Oyj will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Musti Group Oyj has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Musti Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Musti Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Musti Group Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Musti Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Musti Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Musti Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Musti Group Oyj, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Musti Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Musti Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Musti Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Musti Group Oyj can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Musti Group Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Musti Group Oyj has accumulated 59.9 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.82, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Musti Group Oyj has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Musti Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Musti Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Musti Group Oyj sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Musti to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Musti Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 74.0% of Musti Group shares are owned by institutional investors |
Musti Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Musti Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Musti Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Musti Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.3 M |
Musti Group Technical Analysis
Musti Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Musti Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Musti Group Oyj. In general, you should focus on analyzing Musti Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Musti Group Predictive Forecast Models
Musti Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Musti Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Musti Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Musti Group Oyj
Checking the ongoing alerts about Musti Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Musti Group Oyj help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Musti Group Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Musti Group Oyj has accumulated 59.9 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.82, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Musti Group Oyj has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Musti Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Musti Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Musti Group Oyj sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Musti to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Musti Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 74.0% of Musti Group shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Musti Stock
Musti Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Musti Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Musti with respect to the benefits of owning Musti Group security.