Marwyn Value (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 87.93
| MVI Stock | 85.75 0.75 0.88% |
Marwyn |
Marwyn Value Target Price Odds to finish below 87.93
The tendency of Marwyn Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 87.93 after 90 days |
| 85.75 | 90 days | 87.93 | about 38.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marwyn Value to stay under 87.93 after 90 days from now is about 38.54 (This Marwyn Value Investors probability density function shows the probability of Marwyn Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marwyn Value Investors price to stay between its current price of 85.75 and 87.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Marwyn Value Investors has a beta of -0.1. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Marwyn Value are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Marwyn Value Investors is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Marwyn Value Investors has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Marwyn Value Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Marwyn Value
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marwyn Value Investors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Marwyn Value Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marwyn Value is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marwyn Value's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marwyn Value Investors, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marwyn Value within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.27 |
Marwyn Value Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marwyn Value for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marwyn Value Investors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Marwyn Value generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (165.66 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.09 M. | |
| About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Marwyn Value Investors Schedules Annual General Meeting - TipRanks |
Marwyn Value Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marwyn Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marwyn Value's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marwyn Value's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 134 K |
Marwyn Value Technical Analysis
Marwyn Value's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marwyn Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marwyn Value Investors. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marwyn Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marwyn Value Predictive Forecast Models
Marwyn Value's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marwyn Value's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marwyn Value's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marwyn Value Investors
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marwyn Value for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marwyn Value Investors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Marwyn Value generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (165.66 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.09 M. | |
| About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Marwyn Value Investors Schedules Annual General Meeting - TipRanks |
Other Information on Investing in Marwyn Stock
Marwyn Value financial ratios help investors to determine whether Marwyn Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Marwyn with respect to the benefits of owning Marwyn Value security.