Magyar Telekom Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 15.36

MYTAY Stock  USD 15.67  0.09  0.57%   
Magyar Telekom's future price is the expected price of Magyar Telekom instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Magyar Telekom Plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Magyar Telekom Backtesting, Magyar Telekom Valuation, Magyar Telekom Correlation, Magyar Telekom Hype Analysis, Magyar Telekom Volatility, Magyar Telekom History as well as Magyar Telekom Performance.
  
Please specify Magyar Telekom's target price for which you would like Magyar Telekom odds to be computed.

Magyar Telekom Target Price Odds to finish below 15.36

The tendency of Magyar Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 15.36  or more in 90 days
 15.67 90 days 15.36 
about 90.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Magyar Telekom to drop to $ 15.36  or more in 90 days from now is about 90.07 (This Magyar Telekom Plc probability density function shows the probability of Magyar Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Magyar Telekom Plc price to stay between $ 15.36  and its current price of $15.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.92 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Magyar Telekom has a beta of 0.61. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Magyar Telekom average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Magyar Telekom Plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Magyar Telekom Plc has an alpha of 0.0131, implying that it can generate a 0.0131 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Magyar Telekom Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Magyar Telekom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Magyar Telekom Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.4015.6717.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5712.8417.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.9715.2317.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.3615.2016.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Magyar Telekom. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Magyar Telekom's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Magyar Telekom's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Magyar Telekom Plc.

Magyar Telekom Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Magyar Telekom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Magyar Telekom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Magyar Telekom Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Magyar Telekom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.61
σ
Overall volatility
0.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Magyar Telekom Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Magyar Telekom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Magyar Telekom Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Magyar Telekom Plc has accumulated 158.62 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.73, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Magyar Telekom Plc has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Magyar Telekom until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Magyar Telekom's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Magyar Telekom Plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Magyar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Magyar Telekom's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
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Magyar Telekom Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Magyar Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Magyar Telekom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Magyar Telekom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding997 M

Magyar Telekom Technical Analysis

Magyar Telekom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Magyar Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Magyar Telekom Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Magyar Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Magyar Telekom Predictive Forecast Models

Magyar Telekom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Magyar Telekom's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Magyar Telekom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Magyar Telekom Plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Magyar Telekom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Magyar Telekom Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Magyar Telekom Plc has accumulated 158.62 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.73, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Magyar Telekom Plc has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Magyar Telekom until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Magyar Telekom's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Magyar Telekom Plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Magyar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Magyar Telekom's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
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Additional Tools for Magyar Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Magyar Telekom's price analysis, check to measure Magyar Telekom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Magyar Telekom is operating at the current time. Most of Magyar Telekom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Magyar Telekom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Magyar Telekom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Magyar Telekom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.