Lyxor Nasdaq (Switzerland) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 202.83

NADQ Etf  CHF 191.14  1.82  0.96%   
Lyxor Nasdaq's future price is the expected price of Lyxor Nasdaq instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lyxor Nasdaq 100 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lyxor Nasdaq Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Lyxor Nasdaq Correlation, Lyxor Nasdaq Hype Analysis, Lyxor Nasdaq Volatility, Lyxor Nasdaq History as well as Lyxor Nasdaq Performance.
  
Please specify Lyxor Nasdaq's target price for which you would like Lyxor Nasdaq odds to be computed.

Lyxor Nasdaq Target Price Odds to finish below 202.83

The tendency of Lyxor Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under ₣ 202.83  after 90 days
 191.14 90 days 202.83 
about 43.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lyxor Nasdaq to stay under ₣ 202.83  after 90 days from now is about 43.95 (This Lyxor Nasdaq 100 probability density function shows the probability of Lyxor Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lyxor Nasdaq 100 price to stay between its current price of ₣ 191.14  and ₣ 202.83  at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lyxor Nasdaq has a beta of 0.11. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lyxor Nasdaq average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lyxor Nasdaq 100 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lyxor Nasdaq 100 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lyxor Nasdaq Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lyxor Nasdaq

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lyxor Nasdaq 100. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
189.75191.14192.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
176.30177.69210.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
182.28183.67185.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
188.57203.15217.74
Details

Lyxor Nasdaq Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lyxor Nasdaq is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lyxor Nasdaq's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lyxor Nasdaq 100, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lyxor Nasdaq within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
5.23
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Lyxor Nasdaq Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lyxor Nasdaq for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lyxor Nasdaq 100 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lyxor Nasdaq 100 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Lyxor Nasdaq Technical Analysis

Lyxor Nasdaq's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lyxor Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lyxor Nasdaq 100. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lyxor Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lyxor Nasdaq Predictive Forecast Models

Lyxor Nasdaq's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lyxor Nasdaq's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lyxor Nasdaq's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lyxor Nasdaq 100

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lyxor Nasdaq for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lyxor Nasdaq 100 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lyxor Nasdaq 100 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Lyxor Etf

Lyxor Nasdaq financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lyxor Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lyxor with respect to the benefits of owning Lyxor Nasdaq security.