North American (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 328.63

NAIT Stock   332.00  1.00  0.30%   
North American's future price is the expected price of North American instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The North American performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out North American Backtesting, North American Valuation, North American Correlation, North American Hype Analysis, North American Volatility, North American History as well as North American Performance.
  
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North American Target Price Odds to finish below 328.63

The tendency of North Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  328.63  or more in 90 days
 332.00 90 days 328.63 
about 43.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of North American to drop to  328.63  or more in 90 days from now is about 43.23 (This The North American probability density function shows the probability of North Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of North American price to stay between  328.63  and its current price of 332.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon North American has a beta of 0.0534. This indicates as returns on the market go up, North American average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The North American will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The North American has an alpha of 0.1189, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   North American Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for North American

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as North American. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
330.87331.92332.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
298.80374.70375.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
336.76337.81338.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
320.09328.32336.55
Details

North American Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. North American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the North American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The North American, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of North American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
8.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

North American Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of North American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for North American can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Net Loss for the year was (6.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 101.41 M.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lorne Steinbergs Market Outlook North American, global stocks, fixed income - BNN Bloomberg

North American Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of North Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential North American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. North American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding139.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments21.3 M

North American Technical Analysis

North American's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. North Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The North American. In general, you should focus on analyzing North Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

North American Predictive Forecast Models

North American's time-series forecasting models is one of many North American's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary North American's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about North American

Checking the ongoing alerts about North American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for North American help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Net Loss for the year was (6.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 101.41 M.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lorne Steinbergs Market Outlook North American, global stocks, fixed income - BNN Bloomberg

Additional Tools for North Stock Analysis

When running North American's price analysis, check to measure North American's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy North American is operating at the current time. Most of North American's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of North American's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move North American's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of North American to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.