NATIONAL BANK (Malawi) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3450.01
| NBM Stock | 3,450 0.01 0.0003% |
NATIONAL |
NATIONAL BANK Target Price Odds to finish over 3450.01
The tendency of NATIONAL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3,450 | 90 days | 3,450 | about 20.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NATIONAL BANK to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 20.04 (This NATIONAL BANK OF probability density function shows the probability of NATIONAL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NATIONAL BANK has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero. This indicates the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and NATIONAL BANK do not appear to be highly-sensitive. Additionally It does not look like NATIONAL BANK's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation. NATIONAL BANK Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NATIONAL BANK
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NATIONAL BANK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NATIONAL BANK Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NATIONAL BANK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NATIONAL BANK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NATIONAL BANK OF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NATIONAL BANK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -396.97 |
NATIONAL BANK Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NATIONAL BANK for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NATIONAL BANK can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NATIONAL BANK generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
NATIONAL BANK Technical Analysis
NATIONAL BANK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NATIONAL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NATIONAL BANK OF. In general, you should focus on analyzing NATIONAL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NATIONAL BANK Predictive Forecast Models
NATIONAL BANK's time-series forecasting models is one of many NATIONAL BANK's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NATIONAL BANK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NATIONAL BANK
Checking the ongoing alerts about NATIONAL BANK for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NATIONAL BANK help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NATIONAL BANK generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |