Nocera Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.14

NCRA Stock  USD 1.00  0.01  1.01%   
Nocera's future price is the expected price of Nocera instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nocera Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nocera Backtesting, Nocera Valuation, Nocera Correlation, Nocera Hype Analysis, Nocera Volatility, Nocera History as well as Nocera Performance.
  
At present, Nocera's Price Book Value Ratio is projected to increase based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Book Ratio is expected to grow to 4.28, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.51. Please specify Nocera's target price for which you would like Nocera odds to be computed.

Nocera Target Price Odds to finish below 1.14

The tendency of Nocera Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 1.14  after 90 days
 1.00 90 days 1.14 
about 76.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nocera to stay under $ 1.14  after 90 days from now is about 76.53 (This Nocera Inc probability density function shows the probability of Nocera Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nocera Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 1.00  and $ 1.14  at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.37 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Nocera Inc has a beta of -0.84. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nocera are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nocera Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nocera Inc has an alpha of 0.3238, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nocera Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nocera

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nocera Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.998.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.908.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.918.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.851.091.34
Details

Nocera Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nocera is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nocera's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nocera Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nocera within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.84
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Nocera Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nocera for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nocera Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nocera Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Nocera Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 23.92 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 944.59 K.
Nocera Inc currently holds about 1.6 M in cash with (1.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22.
Roughly 52.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 30000 shares by Chuang Shun-chih of Nocera at 0.5 subject to Rule 16b-3

Nocera Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nocera Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nocera's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nocera's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.4 M

Nocera Technical Analysis

Nocera's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nocera Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nocera Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nocera Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nocera Predictive Forecast Models

Nocera's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nocera's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nocera's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nocera Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nocera for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nocera Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nocera Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Nocera Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 23.92 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 944.59 K.
Nocera Inc currently holds about 1.6 M in cash with (1.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22.
Roughly 52.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 30000 shares by Chuang Shun-chih of Nocera at 0.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Nocera Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Nocera's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Nocera Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Nocera Inc Stock:
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nocera. If investors know Nocera will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nocera listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.71)
Earnings Share
(0.36)
Revenue Per Share
2.311
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.268
Return On Assets
(0.13)
The market value of Nocera Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nocera that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nocera's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nocera's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nocera's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nocera's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nocera's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nocera is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nocera's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.