Netas Telekomunikasyon (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 77.22

NETAS Stock  TRY 70.20  0.45  0.65%   
Netas Telekomunikasyon's future price is the expected price of Netas Telekomunikasyon instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Netas Telekomunikasyon AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Netas Telekomunikasyon Backtesting, Netas Telekomunikasyon Valuation, Netas Telekomunikasyon Correlation, Netas Telekomunikasyon Hype Analysis, Netas Telekomunikasyon Volatility, Netas Telekomunikasyon History as well as Netas Telekomunikasyon Performance.
  
Please specify Netas Telekomunikasyon's target price for which you would like Netas Telekomunikasyon odds to be computed.

Netas Telekomunikasyon Target Price Odds to finish over 77.22

The tendency of Netas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  77.22  or more in 90 days
 70.20 90 days 77.22 
about 57.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Netas Telekomunikasyon to move over  77.22  or more in 90 days from now is about 57.88 (This Netas Telekomunikasyon AS probability density function shows the probability of Netas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Netas Telekomunikasyon price to stay between its current price of  70.20  and  77.22  at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Netas Telekomunikasyon has a beta of 0.0849. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Netas Telekomunikasyon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Netas Telekomunikasyon AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Netas Telekomunikasyon AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Netas Telekomunikasyon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Netas Telekomunikasyon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Netas Telekomunikasyon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Netas Telekomunikasyon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.3570.2073.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.3564.2077.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
64.6667.5170.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
67.8370.8873.92
Details

Netas Telekomunikasyon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Netas Telekomunikasyon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Netas Telekomunikasyon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Netas Telekomunikasyon AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Netas Telekomunikasyon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
8.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Netas Telekomunikasyon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Netas Telekomunikasyon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Netas Telekomunikasyon can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Netas Telekomunikasyon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Netas Telekomunikasyon has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 2.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (668.21 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (164.92 M).
Netas Telekomunikasyon AS has accumulated about 396.66 M in cash with (162.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.11.
Roughly 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Netas Telekomunikasyon Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Netas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Netas Telekomunikasyon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Netas Telekomunikasyon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding64.9 M

Netas Telekomunikasyon Technical Analysis

Netas Telekomunikasyon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Netas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Netas Telekomunikasyon AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Netas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Netas Telekomunikasyon Predictive Forecast Models

Netas Telekomunikasyon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Netas Telekomunikasyon's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Netas Telekomunikasyon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Netas Telekomunikasyon

Checking the ongoing alerts about Netas Telekomunikasyon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Netas Telekomunikasyon help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Netas Telekomunikasyon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Netas Telekomunikasyon has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 2.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (668.21 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (164.92 M).
Netas Telekomunikasyon AS has accumulated about 396.66 M in cash with (162.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.11.
Roughly 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Netas Stock

Netas Telekomunikasyon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Netas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Netas with respect to the benefits of owning Netas Telekomunikasyon security.