NewWave Silver (South Africa) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 513.93
| NEWSLV Etf | 525.00 2.00 0.38% |
NewWave |
NewWave Silver Target Price Odds to finish below 513.93
The tendency of NewWave Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 513.93 or more in 90 days |
| 525.00 | 90 days | 513.93 | about 34.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NewWave Silver to drop to 513.93 or more in 90 days from now is about 34.49 (This NewWave Silver Exchange probability density function shows the probability of NewWave Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NewWave Silver Exchange price to stay between 513.93 and its current price of 525.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NewWave Silver has a beta of 0.2. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NewWave Silver average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NewWave Silver Exchange will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NewWave Silver Exchange has an alpha of 0.0554, implying that it can generate a 0.0554 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). NewWave Silver Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for NewWave Silver
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NewWave Silver Exchange. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NewWave Silver Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NewWave Silver is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NewWave Silver's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NewWave Silver Exchange, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NewWave Silver within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 24.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
NewWave Silver Technical Analysis
NewWave Silver's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NewWave Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NewWave Silver Exchange. In general, you should focus on analyzing NewWave Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NewWave Silver Predictive Forecast Models
NewWave Silver's time-series forecasting models is one of many NewWave Silver's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NewWave Silver's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards NewWave Silver in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, NewWave Silver's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from NewWave Silver options trading.
Other Information on Investing in NewWave Etf
NewWave Silver financial ratios help investors to determine whether NewWave Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NewWave with respect to the benefits of owning NewWave Silver security.