Newtekone, 850 Percent Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.00
| NEWTG Stock | 25.56 0.06 0.23% |
NewtekOne, |
NewtekOne, 850 Target Price Odds to finish over 26.00
The tendency of NewtekOne, Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 26.00 or more in 90 days |
| 25.56 | 90 days | 26.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NewtekOne, 850 to move over 26.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This NewtekOne, 850 percent probability density function shows the probability of NewtekOne, Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NewtekOne, 850 percent price to stay between its current price of 25.56 and 26.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.09 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon NewtekOne, 850 has a beta of 0.0527. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NewtekOne, 850 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NewtekOne, 850 percent will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NewtekOne, 850 percent has an alpha of 0.0333, implying that it can generate a 0.0333 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). NewtekOne, 850 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NewtekOne, 850
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NewtekOne, 850 percent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NewtekOne, 850's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NewtekOne, 850 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NewtekOne, 850 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NewtekOne, 850's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NewtekOne, 850 percent, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NewtekOne, 850 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
NewtekOne, 850 Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NewtekOne, Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NewtekOne, 850's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NewtekOne, 850's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0215 | |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 2133 |
NewtekOne, 850 Technical Analysis
NewtekOne, 850's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NewtekOne, Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NewtekOne, 850 percent. In general, you should focus on analyzing NewtekOne, Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NewtekOne, 850 Predictive Forecast Models
NewtekOne, 850's time-series forecasting models is one of many NewtekOne, 850's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NewtekOne, 850's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards NewtekOne, 850 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, NewtekOne, 850's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from NewtekOne, 850 options trading.
Check out NewtekOne, 850 Backtesting, NewtekOne, 850 Valuation, NewtekOne, 850 Correlation, NewtekOne, 850 Hype Analysis, NewtekOne, 850 Volatility, NewtekOne, 850 History as well as NewtekOne, 850 Performance. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Diversified Financial Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NewtekOne, 850. If investors know NewtekOne, will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NewtekOne, 850 listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of NewtekOne, 850 percent is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NewtekOne, that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NewtekOne, 850's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NewtekOne, 850's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NewtekOne, 850's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NewtekOne, 850's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NewtekOne, 850's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NewtekOne, 850 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NewtekOne, 850's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.