NEX POINT (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0

NEX-R Stock  THB 0.73  1.61  68.80%   
NEX POINT's future price is the expected price of NEX POINT instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NEX POINT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NEX POINT Backtesting, NEX POINT Valuation, NEX POINT Correlation, NEX POINT Hype Analysis, NEX POINT Volatility, NEX POINT History as well as NEX POINT Performance.
  
Please specify NEX POINT's target price for which you would like NEX POINT odds to be computed.

NEX POINT Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0

The tendency of NEX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  0.00  in 90 days
 0.73 90 days 0.00 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NEX POINT to stay above  0.00  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This NEX POINT probability density function shows the probability of NEX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NEX POINT price to stay between  0.00  and its current price of 0.73 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.29 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, NEX POINT will likely underperform. Additionally NEX POINT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NEX POINT Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NEX POINT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NEX POINT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.008.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.008.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.729.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.982.113.24
Details

NEX POINT Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NEX POINT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NEX POINT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NEX POINT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NEX POINT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

NEX POINT Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NEX POINT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NEX POINT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NEX POINT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NEX POINT has high historical volatility and very poor performance
NEX POINT has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
NEX POINT has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.02 B. Net Loss for the year was (230.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 189.4 M.
NEX POINT has accumulated about 1.17 B in cash with (95.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.7.

NEX POINT Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NEX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NEX POINT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NEX POINT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares305.45M

NEX POINT Technical Analysis

NEX POINT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NEX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NEX POINT. In general, you should focus on analyzing NEX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NEX POINT Predictive Forecast Models

NEX POINT's time-series forecasting models is one of many NEX POINT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NEX POINT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NEX POINT

Checking the ongoing alerts about NEX POINT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NEX POINT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NEX POINT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NEX POINT has high historical volatility and very poor performance
NEX POINT has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
NEX POINT has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.02 B. Net Loss for the year was (230.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 189.4 M.
NEX POINT has accumulated about 1.17 B in cash with (95.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.7.

Other Information on Investing in NEX Stock

NEX POINT financial ratios help investors to determine whether NEX Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NEX with respect to the benefits of owning NEX POINT security.