NH HOTEL (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.18
| NH5 Stock | 4.24 0.18 4.43% |
NH5 |
NH HOTEL Target Price Odds to finish below 4.18
The tendency of NH5 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 4.18 or more in 90 days |
| 4.24 | 90 days | 4.18 | about 70.03 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NH HOTEL to drop to 4.18 or more in 90 days from now is about 70.03 (This NH HOTEL GROUP probability density function shows the probability of NH5 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NH HOTEL GROUP price to stay between 4.18 and its current price of 4.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NH HOTEL GROUP has a beta of -0.63. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NH HOTEL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NH HOTEL GROUP is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NH HOTEL GROUP has an alpha of 0.1276, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). NH HOTEL Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for NH HOTEL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NH HOTEL GROUP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NH HOTEL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NH HOTEL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NH HOTEL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NH HOTEL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NH HOTEL GROUP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NH HOTEL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
NH HOTEL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NH HOTEL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NH HOTEL GROUP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NH HOTEL GROUP has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 746.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (133.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. |
NH HOTEL Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NH5 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NH HOTEL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NH HOTEL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 435.6 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 143 K | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 28.1 M |
NH HOTEL Technical Analysis
NH HOTEL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NH5 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NH HOTEL GROUP. In general, you should focus on analyzing NH5 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NH HOTEL Predictive Forecast Models
NH HOTEL's time-series forecasting models is one of many NH HOTEL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NH HOTEL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NH HOTEL GROUP
Checking the ongoing alerts about NH HOTEL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NH HOTEL GROUP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NH HOTEL GROUP has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 746.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (133.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. |
Additional Tools for NH5 Stock Analysis
When running NH HOTEL's price analysis, check to measure NH HOTEL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NH HOTEL is operating at the current time. Most of NH HOTEL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NH HOTEL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NH HOTEL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NH HOTEL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.