Nanologica (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.74
| NICA Stock | 1.75 0.03 1.69% |
Nanologica |
Nanologica Target Price Odds to finish below 1.74
The tendency of Nanologica Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.74 or more in 90 days |
| 1.75 | 90 days | 1.74 | about 9.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nanologica to drop to 1.74 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.45 (This Nanologica AB probability density function shows the probability of Nanologica Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nanologica AB price to stay between 1.74 and its current price of 1.75 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This indicates Nanologica AB market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Nanologica is expected to follow. Additionally Nanologica AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nanologica Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nanologica
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nanologica AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nanologica Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nanologica is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nanologica's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nanologica AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nanologica within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Nanologica Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nanologica for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nanologica AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nanologica AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nanologica AB may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Nanologica AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Nanologica AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (44.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.5 M. | |
| Nanologica generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Nanologica Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nanologica Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nanologica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nanologica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.7 M |
Nanologica Technical Analysis
Nanologica's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nanologica Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nanologica AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nanologica Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nanologica Predictive Forecast Models
Nanologica's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nanologica's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nanologica's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nanologica AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nanologica for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nanologica AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nanologica AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nanologica AB may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Nanologica AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Nanologica AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (44.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.5 M. | |
| Nanologica generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Nanologica Stock Analysis
When running Nanologica's price analysis, check to measure Nanologica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nanologica is operating at the current time. Most of Nanologica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nanologica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nanologica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nanologica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.