Annaly Capital Management Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.37
| NLY Stock | USD 19.89 0.08 0.40% |
Annaly |
Annaly Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 15.37
The tendency of Annaly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 15.37 or more in 90 days |
| 19.89 | 90 days | 15.37 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Annaly Capital to drop to $ 15.37 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Annaly Capital Management probability density function shows the probability of Annaly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Annaly Capital Management price to stay between $ 15.37 and its current price of $19.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.95 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Annaly Capital has a beta of 0.23. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Annaly Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Annaly Capital Management will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Annaly Capital Management has an alpha of 0.011, implying that it can generate a 0.011 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Annaly Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Annaly Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Annaly Capital Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Annaly Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Annaly Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Annaly Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Annaly Capital Management, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Annaly Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Annaly Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Annaly Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Annaly Capital Management can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Annaly Capital Management has 13.2 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 5.82, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Annaly Capital Management has a current ratio of 0.25, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Annaly to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.64 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.97 B. | |
| About 56.0% of Annaly Capital shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Annaly Capital paid $ 0.65 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Is Annaly Up 0.4 percent Since Last Earnings Report |
Annaly Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Annaly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Annaly Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Annaly Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 494.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Annaly Capital Technical Analysis
Annaly Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Annaly Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Annaly Capital Management. In general, you should focus on analyzing Annaly Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Annaly Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Annaly Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Annaly Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Annaly Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Annaly Capital Management
Checking the ongoing alerts about Annaly Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Annaly Capital Management help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Annaly Capital Management has 13.2 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 5.82, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Annaly Capital Management has a current ratio of 0.25, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Annaly to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.64 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.97 B. | |
| About 56.0% of Annaly Capital shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Annaly Capital paid $ 0.65 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Is Annaly Up 0.4 percent Since Last Earnings Report |
Additional Tools for Annaly Stock Analysis
When running Annaly Capital's price analysis, check to measure Annaly Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Annaly Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Annaly Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Annaly Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Annaly Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Annaly Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.