Annaly Capital Management Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NLY Stock | USD 20.47 0.71 3.59% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Annaly Capital Management is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Annaly Capital Management given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Annaly Capital Management, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Annaly Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Annaly and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Annaly Capital Management. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
Annaly |
Execute Annaly Capital Buy or Sell Advice
The Annaly recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Annaly Capital Management. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Annaly Capital Management or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Annaly Capital's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Annaly Capital Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Annaly Capital Management has 13.2 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 5.82, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Annaly Capital Management has a current ratio of 0.25, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Annaly to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.64 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 320.33 M. | |
| Annaly Capital has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 57.0% of Annaly Capital shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Annaly Capital Q4 earnings beat as improved supply demand, steeper yield curve generates tailwinds - Seeking Alpha |
Annaly Capital Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Annaly Capital's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Annaly Capital's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Annaly Capital daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Annaly Capital Management price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Annaly Capital returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Annaly Capital.
| Mean Return | 0.12 | Value At Risk | -1.66 | Potential Upside | 2.18 | Standard Deviation | 1.23 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Annaly Capital historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Annaly Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Annaly Capital, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Annaly Capital Management back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 3.5 M | Brandywine Global Investment Mgmt Llc | 2024-09-30 | 3.4 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.2 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-09-30 | 3.1 M | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-09-30 | 3.1 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.8 M | Lsv Asset Management | 2024-09-30 | 2.5 M | Victory Capital Management Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 2 M | Van Eck Associates Corporation | 2024-09-30 | 1.9 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 56.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 48.9 M |
Annaly Capital Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (607.0M) | 98.4M | 234.6M | (164.6M) | (148.1M) | (140.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (32.1B) | 2.5B | 4.4B | 2.0B | 1.8B | 2.5B | |
| Depreciation | 41.4M | 24.6M | 20.5M | 24.8M | 22.3M | 34.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.3B | 689.8M | 3.8B | 4.7B | 5.4B | 5.6B | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.5B | 1.4B | 1.5B | 1.5B | 1.7B | 1.0B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 32.7B | 538.1M | 1.0B | 396.8M | 456.3M | 433.5M | |
| Net Income | (889.8M) | 2.4B | 1.7B | (1.6B) | (1.9B) | (1.8B) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.2B | 1.3B | 1.6B | 1.4B | 1.6B | 814.2M | |
| Investments | 40.1B | 4.2B | (13.5B) | (15.2B) | (17.4B) | (18.3B) | |
| Change Receivables | (86.0M) | 159.3M | 32.9M | (403.6M) | (363.3M) | (345.1M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 1.4B | 1.1B | 2.0B | 4.2B | 4.9B | 5.1B | |
| Change To Netincome | 354.1M | (338.1M) | 298.4M | 12.7M | 14.7M | 13.9M |
Annaly Capital Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Annaly Capital or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Annaly Capital's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Annaly stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Annaly Capital Volatility Alert
Annaly Capital Management has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.31 and kurtosis of 0.85. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Annaly Capital's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Annaly Capital's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Annaly Capital Implied Volatility
Annaly Capital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Annaly Capital Management stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Annaly Capital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Annaly Capital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Annaly Capital's options are near their expiration.
Annaly Capital Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Annaly Capital's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Annaly Capital's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Annaly Capital and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Annaly Capital or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Annaly Capital's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Annaly Capital by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Annaly Capital to competition |
| Fundamentals | Annaly Capital | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0127 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0015 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.31 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.57 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 98.56 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 560.55 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.19 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 57.35 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 18.56 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 2.82 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.02 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 32.05 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | (1.65 B) | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 320.33 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (1.6 B) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (1.64 B) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.58 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.80 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 13.2 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 5.82 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.25 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 19.54 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.37 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.25 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.08) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (3.61) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 20.95 | |
| Number Of Employees | 187 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.58 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 11.84 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 93.23 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (12.62 B) | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.13 % |
Note: Acquisition by Anthony Green of 3136 shares of Annaly Capital subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Annaly Capital Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Annaly . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 253751.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.479167 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.24 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.32 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.58 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.71 |
About Annaly Capital Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Annaly Capital Management? Buying financial instruments such as Annaly Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Annaly Stock Analysis
When running Annaly Capital's price analysis, check to measure Annaly Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Annaly Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Annaly Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Annaly Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Annaly Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Annaly Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.