Newmark Group Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.23

NMRK Stock  USD 15.52  0.24  1.57%   
Newmark's future price is the expected price of Newmark instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Newmark Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Newmark Backtesting, Newmark Valuation, Newmark Correlation, Newmark Hype Analysis, Newmark Volatility, Newmark History as well as Newmark Performance.
  
At this time, Newmark's Price Fair Value is quite stable compared to the past year. Please specify Newmark's target price for which you would like Newmark odds to be computed.

Newmark Target Price Odds to finish over 20.23

The tendency of Newmark Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 20.23  or more in 90 days
 15.52 90 days 20.23 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Newmark to move over $ 20.23  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Newmark Group probability density function shows the probability of Newmark Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Newmark Group price to stay between its current price of $ 15.52  and $ 20.23  at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.6 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Newmark has a beta of 0.45. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Newmark average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Newmark Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Newmark Group has an alpha of 0.1415, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Newmark Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Newmark

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Newmark Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.6115.4017.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.2911.0817.07
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.377.007.77
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.280.290.29
Details

Newmark Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Newmark is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Newmark's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Newmark Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Newmark within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.45
σ
Overall volatility
0.61
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Newmark Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Newmark for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Newmark Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Newmark Group currently holds about 280.47 M in cash with (265.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.57.
Newmark Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Howard Lutnick of 9800 shares of Newmark at 16.75 subject to Rule 16b-3

Newmark Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Newmark Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Newmark's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Newmark's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding176.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments165 M

Newmark Technical Analysis

Newmark's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Newmark Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Newmark Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Newmark Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Newmark Predictive Forecast Models

Newmark's time-series forecasting models is one of many Newmark's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Newmark's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Newmark Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Newmark for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Newmark Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Newmark Group currently holds about 280.47 M in cash with (265.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.57.
Newmark Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Howard Lutnick of 9800 shares of Newmark at 16.75 subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Newmark Group is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Newmark Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Newmark Group Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Newmark Group Stock:
Check out Newmark Backtesting, Newmark Valuation, Newmark Correlation, Newmark Hype Analysis, Newmark Volatility, Newmark History as well as Newmark Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Newmark. If investors know Newmark will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Newmark listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.802
Dividend Share
0.12
Earnings Share
0.3
Revenue Per Share
15.115
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.113
The market value of Newmark Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Newmark that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Newmark's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Newmark's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Newmark's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Newmark's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Newmark's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Newmark is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Newmark's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.