Namsys Inc Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.6
| NMYSF Stock | USD 0.71 0.09 11.25% |
NamSys |
NamSys Target Price Odds to finish below 0.6
The tendency of NamSys Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.60 or more in 90 days |
| 0.71 | 90 days | 0.60 | about 7.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NamSys to drop to $ 0.60 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.2 (This NamSys Inc probability density function shows the probability of NamSys Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NamSys Inc price to stay between $ 0.60 and its current price of $0.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.49 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon NamSys Inc has a beta of -0.6. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NamSys are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NamSys Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NamSys Inc has an alpha of 0.5346, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). NamSys Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NamSys
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NamSys Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NamSys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NamSys Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NamSys is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NamSys' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NamSys Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NamSys within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.6 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
NamSys Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NamSys for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NamSys Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NamSys Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| NamSys Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| NamSys Inc has accumulated about 5.26 M in cash with (1.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.19. | |
| Roughly 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
NamSys Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NamSys Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NamSys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NamSys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.3 M |
NamSys Technical Analysis
NamSys' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NamSys Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NamSys Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing NamSys Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NamSys Predictive Forecast Models
NamSys' time-series forecasting models is one of many NamSys' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NamSys' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NamSys Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about NamSys for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NamSys Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NamSys Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| NamSys Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| NamSys Inc has accumulated about 5.26 M in cash with (1.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.19. | |
| Roughly 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in NamSys Pink Sheet
NamSys financial ratios help investors to determine whether NamSys Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NamSys with respect to the benefits of owning NamSys security.