Neoen Sa Stock Odds of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 41.55

NOSPF Stock  USD 42.00  0.00  0.00%   
Neoen SA's future price is the expected price of Neoen SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Neoen SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Neoen SA Backtesting, Neoen SA Valuation, Neoen SA Correlation, Neoen SA Hype Analysis, Neoen SA Volatility, Neoen SA History as well as Neoen SA Performance.
  
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Neoen SA Target Price Odds to finish below 41.55

The tendency of Neoen OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 41.55  or more in 90 days
 42.00 90 days 41.55 
about 30.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Neoen SA to drop to $ 41.55  or more in 90 days from now is about 30.8 (This Neoen SA probability density function shows the probability of Neoen OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Neoen SA price to stay between $ 41.55  and its current price of $42.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.71 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Neoen SA has a beta of 0.0439. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Neoen SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Neoen SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Neoen SA has an alpha of 0.0654, implying that it can generate a 0.0654 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Neoen SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Neoen SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neoen SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.8542.0042.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.7341.8842.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.8642.0142.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
42.0042.0042.00
Details

Neoen SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Neoen SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Neoen SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Neoen SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Neoen SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Neoen SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Neoen SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Neoen SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Neoen SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 306.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 279 M.
About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Neoen SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Neoen OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Neoen SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Neoen SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares48.34M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month18

Neoen SA Technical Analysis

Neoen SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Neoen OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Neoen SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Neoen OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Neoen SA Predictive Forecast Models

Neoen SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Neoen SA's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Neoen SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Neoen SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Neoen SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Neoen SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Neoen SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 306.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 279 M.
About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Neoen OTC Stock

Neoen SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Neoen OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Neoen with respect to the benefits of owning Neoen SA security.