Nusa Palapa (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 30.09
| NPGF Stock | IDR 34.00 1.00 2.86% |
Nusa |
Nusa Palapa Target Price Odds to finish below 30.09
The tendency of Nusa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 30.09 or more in 90 days |
| 34.00 | 90 days | 30.09 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nusa Palapa to drop to 30.09 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nusa Palapa Gemilang probability density function shows the probability of Nusa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nusa Palapa Gemilang price to stay between 30.09 and its current price of 34.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nusa Palapa Gemilang has a beta of -0.37. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nusa Palapa are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nusa Palapa Gemilang is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nusa Palapa Gemilang has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nusa Palapa Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nusa Palapa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nusa Palapa Gemilang. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nusa Palapa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nusa Palapa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nusa Palapa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nusa Palapa Gemilang, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nusa Palapa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Nusa Palapa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nusa Palapa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nusa Palapa Gemilang can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nusa Palapa Gemilang generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nusa Palapa Gemilang has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Nusa Palapa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nusa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nusa Palapa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nusa Palapa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.4 B | |
| Shares Float | 648 M |
Nusa Palapa Technical Analysis
Nusa Palapa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nusa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nusa Palapa Gemilang. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nusa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nusa Palapa Predictive Forecast Models
Nusa Palapa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nusa Palapa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nusa Palapa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nusa Palapa Gemilang
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nusa Palapa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nusa Palapa Gemilang help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nusa Palapa Gemilang generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nusa Palapa Gemilang has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Other Information on Investing in Nusa Stock
Nusa Palapa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nusa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nusa with respect to the benefits of owning Nusa Palapa security.