Verde Agritech Plc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.06
| NPK Stock | CAD 0.63 0.02 3.28% |
Verde |
Verde Agritech Target Price Odds to finish over 17.06
The tendency of Verde Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 17.06 or more in 90 days |
| 0.63 | 90 days | 17.06 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Verde Agritech to move over C$ 17.06 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Verde Agritech PLC probability density function shows the probability of Verde Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Verde Agritech PLC price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.63 and C$ 17.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.71 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Verde Agritech will likely underperform. Additionally Verde Agritech PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Verde Agritech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Verde Agritech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verde Agritech PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Verde Agritech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Verde Agritech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Verde Agritech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Verde Agritech PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Verde Agritech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Verde Agritech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Verde Agritech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Verde Agritech PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Verde Agritech PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Verde Agritech PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 37.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.58 M. | |
| About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Verde Announces Man of War Rare Earths Project Spin-Off - Yahoo Finance UK |
Verde Agritech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Verde Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Verde Agritech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verde Agritech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7 M |
Verde Agritech Technical Analysis
Verde Agritech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Verde Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Verde Agritech PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Verde Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Verde Agritech Predictive Forecast Models
Verde Agritech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Verde Agritech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Verde Agritech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Verde Agritech PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Verde Agritech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Verde Agritech PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Verde Agritech PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Verde Agritech PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 37.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.58 M. | |
| About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Verde Announces Man of War Rare Earths Project Spin-Off - Yahoo Finance UK |
Other Information on Investing in Verde Stock
Verde Agritech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Verde Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Verde with respect to the benefits of owning Verde Agritech security.