Nsk Ltd Adr Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 7.55

NPSKY Stock  USD 8.64  0.34  3.79%   
NSK's future price is the expected price of NSK instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NSK Ltd ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NSK Backtesting, NSK Valuation, NSK Correlation, NSK Hype Analysis, NSK Volatility, NSK History as well as NSK Performance.
  
Please specify NSK's target price for which you would like NSK odds to be computed.

NSK Target Price Odds to finish below 7.55

The tendency of NSK Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 7.55  or more in 90 days
 8.64 90 days 7.55 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NSK to drop to $ 7.55  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This NSK Ltd ADR probability density function shows the probability of NSK Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NSK Ltd ADR price to stay between $ 7.55  and its current price of $8.64 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon NSK has a beta of 0.46. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NSK average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NSK Ltd ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NSK Ltd ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NSK Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NSK

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NSK Ltd ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.068.6411.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.977.5510.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.658.2310.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.438.759.07
Details

NSK Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NSK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NSK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NSK Ltd ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NSK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

NSK Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NSK for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NSK Ltd ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NSK Ltd ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

NSK Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NSK Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NSK's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NSK's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding257 M
Cash And Short Term Investments139.2 B

NSK Technical Analysis

NSK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NSK Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NSK Ltd ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing NSK Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NSK Predictive Forecast Models

NSK's time-series forecasting models is one of many NSK's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NSK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NSK Ltd ADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about NSK for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NSK Ltd ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NSK Ltd ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for NSK Pink Sheet Analysis

When running NSK's price analysis, check to measure NSK's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NSK is operating at the current time. Most of NSK's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NSK's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NSK's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NSK to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.