Nordfyns Bank (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 326.25
| NRDF Stock | DKK 320.00 2.00 0.62% |
Nordfyns |
Nordfyns Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 326.25
The tendency of Nordfyns Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under kr 326.25 after 90 days |
| 320.00 | 90 days | 326.25 | about 1.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nordfyns Bank to stay under kr 326.25 after 90 days from now is about 1.13 (This Nordfyns Bank AS probability density function shows the probability of Nordfyns Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nordfyns Bank AS price to stay between its current price of kr 320.00 and kr 326.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nordfyns Bank has a beta of 0.0258. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nordfyns Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nordfyns Bank AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nordfyns Bank AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nordfyns Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nordfyns Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nordfyns Bank AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nordfyns Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nordfyns Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nordfyns Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nordfyns Bank AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nordfyns Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.37 |
Nordfyns Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nordfyns Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nordfyns Bank AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nordfyns Bank AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nordfyns Bank AS has accumulated about 50.02 M in cash with (190.15 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 152.25. |
Nordfyns Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nordfyns Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nordfyns Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nordfyns Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 871.8 M |
Nordfyns Bank Technical Analysis
Nordfyns Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nordfyns Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nordfyns Bank AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nordfyns Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nordfyns Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Nordfyns Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nordfyns Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nordfyns Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nordfyns Bank AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nordfyns Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nordfyns Bank AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nordfyns Bank AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nordfyns Bank AS has accumulated about 50.02 M in cash with (190.15 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 152.25. |
Other Information on Investing in Nordfyns Stock
Nordfyns Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nordfyns Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nordfyns with respect to the benefits of owning Nordfyns Bank security.