Nordex Se Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 4.77

NRDXF Stock  USD 14.23  0.00  0.00%   
Nordex SE's future price is the expected price of Nordex SE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nordex SE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nordex SE Backtesting, Nordex SE Valuation, Nordex SE Correlation, Nordex SE Hype Analysis, Nordex SE Volatility, Nordex SE History as well as Nordex SE Performance.
  
Please specify Nordex SE's target price for which you would like Nordex SE odds to be computed.

Nordex SE Target Price Odds to finish below 4.77

The tendency of Nordex Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 4.77  or more in 90 days
 14.23 90 days 4.77 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nordex SE to drop to $ 4.77  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nordex SE probability density function shows the probability of Nordex Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nordex SE price to stay between $ 4.77  and its current price of $14.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.63 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nordex SE has a beta of -0.88. This indicates Additionally Nordex SE has an alpha of 0.2373, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nordex SE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nordex SE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nordex SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nordex SE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0814.2317.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.1812.3315.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.9314.0817.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.2314.2314.23
Details

Nordex SE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nordex SE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nordex SE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nordex SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nordex SE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.88
σ
Overall volatility
1.16
Ir
Information ratio 0

Nordex SE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nordex SE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nordex SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nordex SE had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Nordex SE has accumulated 349.56 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.65, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Nordex SE has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Nordex SE until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Nordex SE's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Nordex SE sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Nordex to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Nordex SE's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 5.44 B. Net Loss for the year was (230.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 793.18 M.
About 43.0% of Nordex SE outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Nordex SE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nordex Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nordex SE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nordex SE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding160 M

Nordex SE Technical Analysis

Nordex SE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nordex Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nordex SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nordex Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nordex SE Predictive Forecast Models

Nordex SE's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nordex SE's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nordex SE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nordex SE

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nordex SE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nordex SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nordex SE had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Nordex SE has accumulated 349.56 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.65, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Nordex SE has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Nordex SE until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Nordex SE's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Nordex SE sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Nordex to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Nordex SE's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 5.44 B. Net Loss for the year was (230.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 793.18 M.
About 43.0% of Nordex SE outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Nordex Pink Sheet

Nordex SE financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nordex Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nordex with respect to the benefits of owning Nordex SE security.