Nordex SE Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

NRDXF Stock  USD 14.23  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nordex SE on the next trading day is expected to be 14.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.36. Nordex Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nordex SE's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Nordex SE simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Nordex SE are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Nordex SE prices get older.

Nordex SE Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nordex SE on the next trading day is expected to be 14.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nordex Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nordex SE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nordex SE Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Nordex SE Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nordex SE's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nordex SE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.08 and 17.38, respectively. We have considered Nordex SE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.23
14.23
Expected Value
17.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nordex SE pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nordex SE pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.205
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.027
MADMean absolute deviation0.0727
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0049
SAESum of the absolute errors4.36
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Nordex SE forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Nordex SE observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Nordex SE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nordex SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nordex SE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0814.2317.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.1812.3315.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.2314.2314.23
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nordex SE

For every potential investor in Nordex, whether a beginner or expert, Nordex SE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nordex Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nordex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nordex SE's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nordex SE Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nordex SE's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nordex SE's current price.

Nordex SE Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nordex SE pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nordex SE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nordex SE pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Nordex SE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nordex SE Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nordex SE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nordex SE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nordex pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Nordex Pink Sheet

Nordex SE financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nordex Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nordex with respect to the benefits of owning Nordex SE security.