NTT DATA (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.8

NT5 Stock  EUR 18.80  0.10  0.53%   
NTT DATA's future price is the expected price of NTT DATA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NTT DATA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NTT DATA Backtesting, NTT DATA Valuation, NTT DATA Correlation, NTT DATA Hype Analysis, NTT DATA Volatility, NTT DATA History as well as NTT DATA Performance.
  
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NTT DATA Target Price Odds to finish below 18.8

The tendency of NTT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 18.80 90 days 18.80 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NTT DATA to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This NTT DATA probability density function shows the probability of NTT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NTT DATA has a beta of 0.56. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NTT DATA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NTT DATA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NTT DATA has an alpha of 0.3508, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NTT DATA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NTT DATA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NTT DATA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.2518.8021.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.0817.6220.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.0418.5921.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.3418.3119.27
Details

NTT DATA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NTT DATA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NTT DATA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NTT DATA , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NTT DATA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.56
σ
Overall volatility
1.43
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

NTT DATA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NTT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NTT DATA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NTT DATA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B
Short Long Term Debt102.8 B

NTT DATA Technical Analysis

NTT DATA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NTT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NTT DATA . In general, you should focus on analyzing NTT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NTT DATA Predictive Forecast Models

NTT DATA's time-series forecasting models is one of many NTT DATA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NTT DATA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards NTT DATA in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, NTT DATA's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from NTT DATA options trading.

Additional Tools for NTT Stock Analysis

When running NTT DATA's price analysis, check to measure NTT DATA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NTT DATA is operating at the current time. Most of NTT DATA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NTT DATA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NTT DATA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NTT DATA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.