Northeast Investors Trust Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 3.96
| NTHEX Fund | USD 3.68 0.07 1.87% |
Northeast |
Northeast Investors Target Price Odds to finish over 3.96
The tendency of Northeast Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 3.96 or more in 90 days |
| 3.68 | 90 days | 3.96 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Northeast Investors to move over $ 3.96 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Northeast Investors Trust probability density function shows the probability of Northeast Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Northeast Investors Trust price to stay between its current price of $ 3.68 and $ 3.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.53 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Northeast Investors has a beta of 0.0223. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Northeast Investors average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Northeast Investors Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Northeast Investors Trust has an alpha of 0.0255, implying that it can generate a 0.0255 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Northeast Investors Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Northeast Investors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northeast Investors Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northeast Investors' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Northeast Investors Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Northeast Investors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Northeast Investors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Northeast Investors Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Northeast Investors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.27 |
Northeast Investors Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Northeast Investors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Northeast Investors Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 7.95% of its assets in cash |
Northeast Investors Technical Analysis
Northeast Investors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Northeast Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Northeast Investors Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Northeast Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Northeast Investors Predictive Forecast Models
Northeast Investors' time-series forecasting models is one of many Northeast Investors' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Northeast Investors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Northeast Investors Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Northeast Investors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Northeast Investors Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains about 7.95% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Northeast Mutual Fund
Northeast Investors financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northeast Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northeast with respect to the benefits of owning Northeast Investors security.
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