Nuvista Energy Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 2.71
| NUVSF Stock | USD 9.43 0.05 0.53% |
NuVista |
NuVista Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 2.71
The tendency of NuVista Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 2.71 or more in 90 days |
| 9.43 | 90 days | 2.71 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NuVista Energy to drop to $ 2.71 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This NuVista Energy probability density function shows the probability of NuVista Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NuVista Energy price to stay between $ 2.71 and its current price of $9.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.87 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon NuVista Energy has a beta of 0.21. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NuVista Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NuVista Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NuVista Energy has an alpha of 0.1599, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). NuVista Energy Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for NuVista Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NuVista Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NuVista Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NuVista Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NuVista Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NuVista Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NuVista Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NuVista Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
NuVista Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NuVista Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NuVista Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NuVista Energy has accumulated 419.23 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.24, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. NuVista Energy has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist NuVista Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, NuVista Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like NuVista Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for NuVista to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about NuVista Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 22.0% of NuVista Energy outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
NuVista Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NuVista Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NuVista Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NuVista Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 227.6 M |
NuVista Energy Technical Analysis
NuVista Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NuVista Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NuVista Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing NuVista Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NuVista Energy Predictive Forecast Models
NuVista Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many NuVista Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NuVista Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NuVista Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about NuVista Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NuVista Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NuVista Energy has accumulated 419.23 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.24, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. NuVista Energy has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist NuVista Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, NuVista Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like NuVista Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for NuVista to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about NuVista Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 22.0% of NuVista Energy outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in NuVista Pink Sheet
NuVista Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether NuVista Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NuVista with respect to the benefits of owning NuVista Energy security.