Nationwide Loomis All Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 20.73

NWADX Fund  USD 20.73  0.18  0.86%   
Nationwide Loomis' future price is the expected price of Nationwide Loomis instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nationwide Loomis All performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nationwide Loomis Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Nationwide Loomis Correlation, Nationwide Loomis Hype Analysis, Nationwide Loomis Volatility, Nationwide Loomis History as well as Nationwide Loomis Performance.
  
Please specify Nationwide Loomis' target price for which you would like Nationwide Loomis odds to be computed.

Nationwide Loomis Target Price Odds to finish over 20.73

The tendency of Nationwide Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.73 90 days 20.73 
about 7.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nationwide Loomis to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.12 (This Nationwide Loomis All probability density function shows the probability of Nationwide Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nationwide Loomis has a beta of 0.95. This indicates Nationwide Loomis All market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Nationwide Loomis is expected to follow. Additionally Nationwide Loomis All has an alpha of 0.069, implying that it can generate a 0.069 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nationwide Loomis Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nationwide Loomis

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nationwide Loomis All. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nationwide Loomis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.6520.7321.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.3020.3821.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.4020.4821.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.4120.7921.17
Details

Nationwide Loomis Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nationwide Loomis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nationwide Loomis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nationwide Loomis All, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nationwide Loomis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.95
σ
Overall volatility
0.90
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Nationwide Loomis Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nationwide Loomis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nationwide Loomis All can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.45% of its assets in stocks

Nationwide Loomis Technical Analysis

Nationwide Loomis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nationwide Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nationwide Loomis All. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nationwide Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nationwide Loomis Predictive Forecast Models

Nationwide Loomis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Nationwide Loomis' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nationwide Loomis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nationwide Loomis All

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nationwide Loomis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nationwide Loomis All help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.45% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Nationwide Mutual Fund

Nationwide Loomis financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nationwide Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nationwide with respect to the benefits of owning Nationwide Loomis security.
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