Nexus Real Estate Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.20

NXR-UN Stock  CAD 7.96  0.02  0.25%   
Nexus Real's future price is the expected price of Nexus Real instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nexus Real Estate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nexus Real Backtesting, Nexus Real Valuation, Nexus Real Correlation, Nexus Real Hype Analysis, Nexus Real Volatility, Nexus Real History as well as Nexus Real Performance.
  
At present, Nexus Real's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 5.47, whereas Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is forecasted to decline to 9.54. Please specify Nexus Real's target price for which you would like Nexus Real odds to be computed.

Nexus Real Target Price Odds to finish below 3.20

The tendency of Nexus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 3.20  or more in 90 days
 7.96 90 days 3.20 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nexus Real to drop to C$ 3.20  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nexus Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Nexus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nexus Real Estate price to stay between C$ 3.20  and its current price of C$7.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nexus Real Estate has a beta of -0.051. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nexus Real are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nexus Real Estate is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nexus Real Estate has an alpha of 0.021, implying that it can generate a 0.021 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nexus Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nexus Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nexus Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nexus Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.697.969.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.626.898.16
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.140.140.14
Details

Nexus Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nexus Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nexus Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nexus Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nexus Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Nexus Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nexus Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nexus Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nexus Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nexus Real Estate has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Nexus Real Estate has accumulated 1.19 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.34, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Nexus Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Nexus Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Nexus Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Nexus Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Nexus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Nexus Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 33.0% of Nexus Real outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 15th of November 2024 Nexus Real paid C$ 0.0533 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Analysts Set Nexus Industrial REIT Target Price at C8.92 - MarketBeat

Nexus Real Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nexus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nexus Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nexus Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding89.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.9 M

Nexus Real Technical Analysis

Nexus Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nexus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nexus Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nexus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nexus Real Predictive Forecast Models

Nexus Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nexus Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nexus Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nexus Real Estate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nexus Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nexus Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nexus Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nexus Real Estate has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Nexus Real Estate has accumulated 1.19 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.34, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Nexus Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Nexus Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Nexus Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Nexus Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Nexus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Nexus Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 33.0% of Nexus Real outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 15th of November 2024 Nexus Real paid C$ 0.0533 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Analysts Set Nexus Industrial REIT Target Price at C8.92 - MarketBeat

Other Information on Investing in Nexus Stock

Nexus Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nexus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nexus with respect to the benefits of owning Nexus Real security.