Nykredit Invest (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 202.7

NYIDA Stock  DKK 198.02  0.08  0.04%   
Nykredit Invest's future price is the expected price of Nykredit Invest instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nykredit Invest Danske performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nykredit Invest Backtesting, Nykredit Invest Valuation, Nykredit Invest Correlation, Nykredit Invest Hype Analysis, Nykredit Invest Volatility, Nykredit Invest History as well as Nykredit Invest Performance.
  
Please specify Nykredit Invest's target price for which you would like Nykredit Invest odds to be computed.

Nykredit Invest Target Price Odds to finish below 202.7

The tendency of Nykredit Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under kr 202.70  after 90 days
 198.02 90 days 202.70 
about 32.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nykredit Invest to stay under kr 202.70  after 90 days from now is about 32.95 (This Nykredit Invest Danske probability density function shows the probability of Nykredit Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nykredit Invest Danske price to stay between its current price of kr 198.02  and kr 202.70  at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nykredit Invest has a beta of 0.12. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nykredit Invest average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nykredit Invest Danske will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nykredit Invest Danske has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Nykredit Invest Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nykredit Invest

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nykredit Invest Danske. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
201.66202.47203.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
193.67198.83203.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nykredit Invest. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nykredit Invest's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nykredit Invest's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nykredit Invest Danske.

Nykredit Invest Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nykredit Invest is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nykredit Invest's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nykredit Invest Danske, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nykredit Invest within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
5.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

Nykredit Invest Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nykredit Invest for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nykredit Invest Danske can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nykredit Invest generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Nykredit Invest Technical Analysis

Nykredit Invest's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nykredit Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nykredit Invest Danske. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nykredit Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nykredit Invest Predictive Forecast Models

Nykredit Invest's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nykredit Invest's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nykredit Invest's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nykredit Invest Danske

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nykredit Invest for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nykredit Invest Danske help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nykredit Invest generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Nykredit Stock

Nykredit Invest financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nykredit Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nykredit with respect to the benefits of owning Nykredit Invest security.