Oriola Oyj (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.76
| O5O Stock | EUR 0.90 0.04 4.65% |
Oriola |
Oriola Oyj Target Price Odds to finish below 0.76
The tendency of Oriola Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.76 or more in 90 days |
| 0.90 | 90 days | 0.76 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oriola Oyj to drop to € 0.76 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Oriola Oyj probability density function shows the probability of Oriola Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oriola Oyj price to stay between € 0.76 and its current price of €0.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.63 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oriola Oyj has a beta of -0.0647. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Oriola Oyj are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Oriola Oyj is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Oriola Oyj has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Oriola Oyj Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oriola Oyj
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oriola Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oriola Oyj Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oriola Oyj is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oriola Oyj's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oriola Oyj, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oriola Oyj within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Oriola Oyj Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oriola Oyj for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oriola Oyj can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oriola Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oriola Oyj has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Oriola Oyj has accumulated 59.1 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.27, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Oriola Oyj has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Oriola Oyj until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Oriola Oyj's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Oriola Oyj sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Oriola to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Oriola Oyj's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.52 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 185.9 M. | |
| About 27.0% of Oriola Oyj outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Oriola Oyj Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oriola Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oriola Oyj's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oriola Oyj's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 181.4 M |
Oriola Oyj Technical Analysis
Oriola Oyj's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oriola Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oriola Oyj. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oriola Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oriola Oyj Predictive Forecast Models
Oriola Oyj's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oriola Oyj's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oriola Oyj's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oriola Oyj
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oriola Oyj for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oriola Oyj help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oriola Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oriola Oyj has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Oriola Oyj has accumulated 59.1 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.27, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Oriola Oyj has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Oriola Oyj until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Oriola Oyj's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Oriola Oyj sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Oriola to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Oriola Oyj's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.52 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 185.9 M. | |
| About 27.0% of Oriola Oyj outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Oriola Stock
Oriola Oyj financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oriola Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oriola with respect to the benefits of owning Oriola Oyj security.