POWER METALS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.70

OAA1 Stock   0.28  0.01  3.70%   
POWER METALS's future price is the expected price of POWER METALS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of POWER METALS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out POWER METALS Backtesting, POWER METALS Valuation, POWER METALS Correlation, POWER METALS Hype Analysis, POWER METALS Volatility, POWER METALS History as well as POWER METALS Performance.
  
Please specify POWER METALS's target price for which you would like POWER METALS odds to be computed.

POWER METALS Target Price Odds to finish over 13.70

The tendency of POWER Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  13.70  or more in 90 days
 0.28 90 days 13.70 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of POWER METALS to move over  13.70  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This POWER METALS probability density function shows the probability of POWER Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of POWER METALS price to stay between its current price of  0.28  and  13.70  at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.23 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, POWER METALS will likely underperform. Additionally POWER METALS has an alpha of 0.7944, implying that it can generate a 0.79 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   POWER METALS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for POWER METALS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as POWER METALS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.284.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.264.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.304.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.220.260.29
Details

POWER METALS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. POWER METALS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the POWER METALS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold POWER METALS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of POWER METALS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.79
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

POWER METALS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of POWER METALS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for POWER METALS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
POWER METALS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
POWER METALS appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (1.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
POWER METALS generates negative cash flow from operations

POWER METALS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of POWER Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential POWER METALS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. POWER METALS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding116.1 M
Short Long Term Debt65 K

POWER METALS Technical Analysis

POWER METALS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. POWER Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of POWER METALS. In general, you should focus on analyzing POWER Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

POWER METALS Predictive Forecast Models

POWER METALS's time-series forecasting models is one of many POWER METALS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary POWER METALS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about POWER METALS

Checking the ongoing alerts about POWER METALS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for POWER METALS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
POWER METALS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
POWER METALS appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (1.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
POWER METALS generates negative cash flow from operations

Additional Tools for POWER Stock Analysis

When running POWER METALS's price analysis, check to measure POWER METALS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy POWER METALS is operating at the current time. Most of POWER METALS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of POWER METALS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move POWER METALS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of POWER METALS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.