Oceania Healthcare (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.57
| OCA Stock | 0.65 0.05 7.14% |
Oceania |
Oceania Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish over 0.57
The tendency of Oceania Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 0.57 in 90 days |
| 0.65 | 90 days | 0.57 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oceania Healthcare to stay above 0.57 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Oceania Healthcare probability density function shows the probability of Oceania Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oceania Healthcare price to stay between 0.57 and its current price of 0.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Oceania Healthcare has a beta of -0.53. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Oceania Healthcare are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Oceania Healthcare is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Oceania Healthcare has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Oceania Healthcare Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oceania Healthcare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oceania Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oceania Healthcare Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oceania Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oceania Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oceania Healthcare, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oceania Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Oceania Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oceania Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oceania Healthcare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oceania Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oceania Healthcare has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Oceania Healthcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Oceania Healthcare has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Recent 4.4 percent pullback isnt enough to hurt long-term Regis Healthcare shareholders, theyre still up 263 percent over 3 years - Simply Wall St |
Oceania Healthcare Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oceania Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oceania Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oceania Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 723.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.8 M |
Oceania Healthcare Technical Analysis
Oceania Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oceania Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oceania Healthcare. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oceania Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oceania Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models
Oceania Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oceania Healthcare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oceania Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oceania Healthcare
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oceania Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oceania Healthcare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oceania Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oceania Healthcare has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Oceania Healthcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Oceania Healthcare has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Recent 4.4 percent pullback isnt enough to hurt long-term Regis Healthcare shareholders, theyre still up 263 percent over 3 years - Simply Wall St |
Additional Tools for Oceania Stock Analysis
When running Oceania Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Oceania Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oceania Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Oceania Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oceania Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oceania Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oceania Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.