Olympus Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 19.38

OCPNF Stock  USD 15.63  0.12  0.76%   
Olympus' future price is the expected price of Olympus instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Olympus performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Olympus Backtesting, Olympus Valuation, Olympus Correlation, Olympus Hype Analysis, Olympus Volatility, Olympus History as well as Olympus Performance.
  
Please specify Olympus' target price for which you would like Olympus odds to be computed.

Olympus Target Price Odds to finish over 19.38

The tendency of Olympus Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 19.38  or more in 90 days
 15.63 90 days 19.38 
roughly 2.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Olympus to move over $ 19.38  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.07 (This Olympus probability density function shows the probability of Olympus Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Olympus price to stay between its current price of $ 15.63  and $ 19.38  at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Olympus has a beta of 0.66. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Olympus average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Olympus will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Olympus has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Olympus Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Olympus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Olympus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.2016.2918.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.4816.5718.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.9416.0318.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.6315.8716.12
Details

Olympus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Olympus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Olympus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Olympus, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Olympus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.66
σ
Overall volatility
1.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Olympus Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Olympus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Olympus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Olympus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Olympus Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Olympus Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Olympus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Olympus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments312.8 B

Olympus Technical Analysis

Olympus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Olympus Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Olympus. In general, you should focus on analyzing Olympus Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Olympus Predictive Forecast Models

Olympus' time-series forecasting models is one of many Olympus' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Olympus' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Olympus

Checking the ongoing alerts about Olympus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Olympus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Olympus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Olympus Pink Sheet

Olympus financial ratios help investors to determine whether Olympus Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Olympus with respect to the benefits of owning Olympus security.