Grupo Concesionario (Argentina) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 784.45
| OEST Stock | ARS 1,115 30.00 2.76% |
Grupo |
Grupo Concesionario Target Price Odds to finish over 784.45
The tendency of Grupo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 784.45 in 90 days |
| 1,115 | 90 days | 784.45 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grupo Concesionario to stay above 784.45 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Grupo Concesionario del probability density function shows the probability of Grupo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grupo Concesionario del price to stay between 784.45 and its current price of 1115.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Grupo Concesionario del has a beta of -0.2. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Grupo Concesionario are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Grupo Concesionario del is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Grupo Concesionario del has an alpha of 0.0156, implying that it can generate a 0.0156 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Grupo Concesionario Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Grupo Concesionario
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Concesionario del. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Grupo Concesionario Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grupo Concesionario is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grupo Concesionario's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grupo Concesionario del, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grupo Concesionario within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 53.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0053 |
Grupo Concesionario Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grupo Concesionario for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grupo Concesionario del can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 5.65 B. Net Loss for the year was (462.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.95 B. |
Grupo Concesionario Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grupo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grupo Concesionario's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grupo Concesionario's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 160 M |
Grupo Concesionario Technical Analysis
Grupo Concesionario's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grupo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grupo Concesionario del. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grupo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Grupo Concesionario Predictive Forecast Models
Grupo Concesionario's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grupo Concesionario's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grupo Concesionario's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Grupo Concesionario del
Checking the ongoing alerts about Grupo Concesionario for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grupo Concesionario del help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 5.65 B. Net Loss for the year was (462.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.95 B. |
Other Information on Investing in Grupo Stock
Grupo Concesionario financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grupo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grupo with respect to the benefits of owning Grupo Concesionario security.