Invesco Municipal Income Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.25

OIA Stock  USD 6.54  0.05  0.77%   
Invesco Municipal's future price is the expected price of Invesco Municipal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco Municipal Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Invesco Municipal Backtesting, Invesco Municipal Valuation, Invesco Municipal Correlation, Invesco Municipal Hype Analysis, Invesco Municipal Volatility, Invesco Municipal History as well as Invesco Municipal Performance.
  
At present, Invesco Municipal's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 16.34, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.80. Please specify Invesco Municipal's target price for which you would like Invesco Municipal odds to be computed.

Invesco Municipal Target Price Odds to finish below 4.25

The tendency of Invesco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 4.25  or more in 90 days
 6.54 90 days 4.25 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Municipal to drop to $ 4.25  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Invesco Municipal Income probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Municipal Income price to stay between $ 4.25  and its current price of $6.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.32 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Invesco Municipal Income has a beta of -0.0228. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Invesco Municipal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Invesco Municipal Income is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Invesco Municipal Income has an alpha of 0.0284, implying that it can generate a 0.0284 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco Municipal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Municipal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Municipal Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.776.547.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.095.866.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.716.487.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.466.556.63
Details

Invesco Municipal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Municipal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Municipal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Municipal Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Municipal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Invesco Municipal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Municipal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Municipal Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco Municipal Income has about 873.44 K in cash with (32.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Invesco Municipal has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 31st of October 2024 Invesco Municipal paid $ 0.0291 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Invesco Municipal Income Opportunities Trust Announces Monthly Dividend of 0.03 - MarketBeat

Invesco Municipal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Invesco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Invesco Municipal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invesco Municipal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments322.8 K

Invesco Municipal Technical Analysis

Invesco Municipal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Municipal Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco Municipal Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco Municipal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Municipal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Municipal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco Municipal Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Municipal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Municipal Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco Municipal Income has about 873.44 K in cash with (32.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Invesco Municipal has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 31st of October 2024 Invesco Municipal paid $ 0.0291 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Invesco Municipal Income Opportunities Trust Announces Monthly Dividend of 0.03 - MarketBeat
When determining whether Invesco Municipal Income offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Invesco Municipal's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Invesco Municipal Income Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Invesco Municipal Income Stock:
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Invesco Municipal. If investors know Invesco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Invesco Municipal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
10.189
Dividend Share
0.337
Earnings Share
0.69
Revenue Per Share
0.454
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.039
The market value of Invesco Municipal Income is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Invesco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Invesco Municipal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Invesco Municipal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Invesco Municipal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Invesco Municipal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Municipal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Municipal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Municipal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.